Crush MMA DFS with the power of simulations

Episode 8 May 02, 2022 00:59:30
Crush MMA DFS with the power of simulations
DFS Office Hours (Presented by SaberSim.com)
Crush MMA DFS with the power of simulations

May 02 2022 | 00:59:30

/

Show Notes

Wil and Jordan discuss how SaberSim built the best MMA simulations on the market, why simulations are so important to success in MMA DFS and how to leverage our sims and build winning DFS lineups with SaberSim.

Sign-up for your free 7-day trial of SaberSim Now

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/yuLOodTRC38

Join Slack Here: https://bit.ly/3cGr2c4

00:00 Intro
02:05 What is a simulation?
03:25 The advantage to using sims in MMA
06:35 What's the level of granularity in the sims?
08:20 What are the primary inputs for our simulations
13:05 What is the biggest edge in MMA DFS?
17:28 Looking at a fighter distribution and the high-variance nature of the sport
24:00 When can you start building MMA lineups?
27:39 Should you curate a fighter pool?
31:09 Making adjustments to projections
36:08 Making adjustments to ownership
40:37 How Sim Variance helps pull in Sim Data automatically
42:14 Should you ever allow opposing fighters?
43:27 Should you adjust min / max salary?
45:35 Adjusting exposures in Step 3 and SaberScore
46:40 Percentiles in MMA?
49:07 How simulations calculate in-round points scored
53:00 FanDuel support
53:40 MMA Actual Scores
58:38 What's next for the MMA sims?
56:50 Wrap-up

Other Episodes

Episode 319

August 21, 2023 00:25:19
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: Understanding the Percentiles

On this episode, Andrew discusses the different percentiles. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/NOfwYBzD_kI   00:00 Intro 01:45 95th Percentile08:35 Using SaberSim to Find Value Plays18:08 NFL...

Listen

Episode 123

October 19, 2022 00:43:40
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: Walking through an NBA process

In this episode, Andrew discusses elements of his NBA process ahead of opening night.     00:00 Intro 01:30 Follow-Up on Yesterday's Question(s) 02:22 Pro Plan...

Listen

Episode 244

April 18, 2023 00:37:41
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: Should I use ownership or adjusted ownership for my rules?

On this episode, Andrew explains the difference between ownership and adjusted ownership. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/kPasEzKf5sw 00:00 Intro 01:50 What's the best way to...

Listen