Simulations are a MUST to build winning NASCAR DFS lineups

Episode 13 May 02, 2022 01:08:41
Simulations are a MUST to build winning NASCAR DFS lineups
DFS Office Hours (Presented by SaberSim.com)
Simulations are a MUST to build winning NASCAR DFS lineups

May 02 2022 | 01:08:41

/

Show Notes

Matt and Jordan break down how SaberSim's NASCAR simulations work and how NASCAR DFS simulations can give you a massive edge over the competition this season.

Sign-up for your free 7-day trial of SaberSim Now

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/sK1_z7inCds

Join Slack Here: https://bit.ly/3cGr2c4

00:00 Intro
0:55 What is a simulation?
03:25 What are the inputs and factors to our NASCAR sim?
07:25 How SaberSim uses sim data and the value of sims
11:25 How our model takes into account the nuances of a specific race
13:30 How to add additional value to the model
19:15 Why NASCAR settings are set to 0-10 and navigating ownership and variance
23:40 Our NASCAR model predicts wrecks
27:30 Understanding the distribution of outcomes for drivers
32:54 Simulations let you play intuitively and trust your gut
35:07 Heuristics and rules of thumb don't work in NASCAR DFS
37:25 Tri-modal component of distributions
40:45 Future improvements planned for the model
44:50 How correlation is factored into sims
47:36 How practice times and driver fit research can add value
49:40 Why you don't need to program groups to build NASCAR lineups with SaberSim
53:53 Better or worse model accuracy on different tracks
55:16 Best settings for NASCAR
58:04 Aggregating multiple sims and dealing with covariance at lower sim variance settings
1:00:37 Is the maximum value-add editing exposures?
1:03:45 Percentiles in NASCAR

Other Episodes

Episode 571

October 08, 2024 00:14:00
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: Build NHL Lineups with Andrew

In this episode, Andrew walks through his NHL process. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/Z9xeZ0gu3ek Start Your SaberSim Free Trial Now: https://www.sabersim.com/ Follow us on X...

Listen

Episode 682

April 29, 2025 00:25:44
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: What do 50th, 75th percentiles mean and how should you use them?

In this episode, Andrew breaks down percentiles and how to apply that knowledge to your DFS approach. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/E7yLtnRRN3s   00:00 Intro02:00 Can...

Listen

Episode 506

June 11, 2024 00:22:59
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: Exploring Andrew's MLB DFS Process

On this episode, Andrew walks through his MLB DFS process, sharing expert tips and strategies to help you succeed. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/YyXXZ064Jg0 00:00...

Listen