How The Best MLB DFS Simulator Works

Episode 11 May 03, 2022 01:30:35
How The Best MLB DFS Simulator Works
DFS Office Hours (Presented by SaberSim.com)
How The Best MLB DFS Simulator Works

May 03 2022 | 01:30:35

/

Show Notes

Matt and Wil join Jordan to talk about SaberSim's MLB simulator: why simulations are valuable for MLB DFS, how we built a sophisticated model, and what's new for this season.

Sign-up for your free 7-day trial of SaberSim Now

Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/BZDWI7PcRxQ

Join Slack Here: https://bit.ly/3cGr2c4

00:00 Intro
00:55 What is a simulation?
06:50 Why simulate baseball? What's the value?
12:38 What does a baseball simulation look like?
17:00 Bullpen modeling
18:15 Pinch hitting
20:00 Umpires
25:07 Weather
32:20 Park factors
35:35 Vegas
39:33 Minor league players getting called
43:13 Is there bad common wisdom about projecting MLB?
47:35 What is a unique challenge of simulating baseball?
54:40 What's new to SaberSim's model for this season?
57:45 How do we know if our changes are improving things?
59:30 What's new in baseball this year?
1:03:20 Universal DH
1:07:00 7-inning doubleheaders
1:09:40 What improvements are coming next?
1:15:30 Does our bullpen model know which relievers threw recently?
1:18:10 Granularity of sim
1:20:10 Statcast?
1:22:30 Changing projections and the simulations

Other Episodes

Episode 281

June 21, 2023 00:26:44
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: A Walkthrough of Andrew's MLB Process

On this episode, Andrew demonstrates how to set rules for MLB. Watch on YouTube: https://youtube.com/live/4U3MbGr-z3U 00:00 Intro 02:20 Walkthrough of Andrew's Process 21:55 NHL...

Listen

Episode 538

August 15, 2024 00:17:07
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: What’s the best way to study and decide which positions you want to take?

On this episode, Andrew breaks down the top strategies for studying DFS and making the best decisions on which positions to take. Watch on...

Listen

Episode 124

October 20, 2022 00:25:03
Episode Cover

DFS Q&A: All things NBA ahead of tip-off of the 2022-23 season

In this episode, Andrew goes over a range of NBA specific topics ahead of the first large slate of the NBA season.     00:00 Intro...

Listen