DFS Q&A: Be careful of exposure and player pool heuristics

Episode 37 June 13, 2022 01:10:53
DFS Q&A: Be careful of exposure and player pool heuristics
DFS Office Hours (Presented by SaberSim.com)
DFS Q&A: Be careful of exposure and player pool heuristics

Jun 13 2022 | 01:10:53

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Show Notes

Jordan explains why heuristics regarding how many players to have in your player pool and your player exposures can be dangerous, and how to arrive at your own player pool and exposures.

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00:00 Intro
03:40 How many starting pitchers do I have in my pool?
11:26 Player percentiles and lineup percentiles
13:45 Breaking down a 15 game MLB slate
21:03 Forcing same team stack and pitcher in weather games
25:58 Why heuristics are needed for traditional optimizers
28:38 Diversifying stack combinations
32:03 NBA Showdown and correlations
34:44 NBA Showdown and lineup percentiles
36:15 Unique lineups with SaberSim's entry editor
38:43 Player groups in NBA showdown
40:58 Ohtani projections for partners
41:44 Setting exposure to all players
45:47 What parameters to sort lineups
47:40 Building lineups on the Starter vs. Advanced plan
48:48 Late Swap and Quick Swap to only change lineups with an OUT player
53:50 Max Exposure set to projection
59:00 Min Uniques
1:00:40 Avoid exposure heuristics!
1:05:08 Sims run for a game when news breaks
1:06:14 NBA correlation
1:08:58 Having a high-scoring lineup in your lineup pool is a good thing

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